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Tuesday, June 8, 2021

Truths about option trading

My friend sent me this, which I think is very valuable for option traders. So I'm sharing it with you. My personal experience in trading options leads me to agree with the truths 100%. 

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Truth No. 1: Buying and selling options is about the least risky and potentially most rewarding game on Wall Street.

Options master Victor Sperandeo racked up a nominal rate of return of 70.7% without a losing year between 1978 and 1989. With his astounding track record, we'd be foolish not to pay attention to what he has to say:

Options are, many say, the riskiest game in town. Certainly, they are by far the most challenging, flexible, and potentially profitable financial instruments available.

But if you trade them prudently, if you apply sound principles of money management, trade only when the risk/reward ratio is highly in your favor, and execute your trades with diligence and patience… Then, in all likelihood, you will be profitable over the long term.

I can say, conservatively, that at least 40% of all the returns I've made in my life have been with options.

Truth No. 2: Want to be a winner? Watch your losers!

To succeed in trading options, you really need to limit your trading to opportunities that have at least a 3-to-1 payout. At minimum, you want to have the potential to pocket $3 in return for every dollar you risk.

This also forces you to think in terms of reward and risk, which is extremely important.

Most failed options traders, even ones that may have had good trading systems, fail because they didn't pay enough attention to risk. If you're willing to lose 50% on a position, you'd better be expecting a gain of 150% or more – at least. That's a tall order.

If you're willing to lose it all (meaning have the potential for a negative 100% return on a position), then you'd better be expecting a 300% to 500%-plus gain in that position.

When you see it in terms of risk versus reward – and you realize that 500% winners don't come along every day – you can see that "risking it all" is a bad bet.

Options are a lot like poker – your hand is only a small portion of the battle. Betting appropriately for the entire game is really what's important, which leads us to…

Truth No. 3: Big winners make small bets.

You've got to know when to hold 'em and when to fold 'em. But you'd sure hate to fold 'em and take a total loss with a big bet on the table… So don't ever put yourself in that situation. Limit the size of your positions.

You should only have 2%-3% of the money you've set aside for trading at risk on any one trade. We really can't imagine any combination of circumstances where you should consider putting more than 10% of your trading money on one play. Don't do it!

To end up like Vic Sperandeo over the long run, you've got to stick to the program. Limit the size of your positions. And limit your downside by never allowing a small loss to turn into a big loss.

Traders who follow this have a chance of being winners in options over the long run. Those who don't will be quickly taken for every penny.

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