First of all, I must say the market has been enormously resilient so far. While I still very much doubt we will see new highs anytime soon, especially not before Nov 3, I may be wrong if the bulls have enough strength to push it to new highs in the next 2-3 weeks. Having said that, this is one of few times that I'm actually happy to be wrong because a strong market will make Trump more likely to win the election. See here: 拜登还是川普？近百年灵验指标释出这样的讯号.
In a nutshell, since 1928, the sitting president for reelection has a 90% chance to win if the market is gaining within the 3 months prior to the voting day. This odds has become 100% since 1984. Right now from Aug 3 till now, S&P has been about 6% higher. If we see a new high by Nov 3, maybe Trump will have a 200% chance to win! 💪😎 I'm all for it even though it means I will be wrong!!
The real question for me is what will happen post Nov 3. I have heard pundits saying that the market has more and more priced in an overwhelming winning for Biden on Nov 3 and therefore it is unlikely to see a no result Nov 3 election day. Good luck if you are in this camp. For me, it is becoming increasingly likely that we will see a very chaotic Nov 3 and many weeks thereafter if not months. The situation is largely designed and pushed up towards by the Dems as they love chaos, which will help them to steal the votes to claim a win. Just look at numerous reports that wrong ballots were sent, mail ballots were stolen by strangers as captured by the monitor cam or mail ballots were destroyed, which happened to be mostly Trump's supporters' votes.......Here is just one example:
Last week, the Justice Department charged a mail carrier in New Jersey for dumping mail.
According to a DOJ statement, 26-year-old Nicholas Beauchene was arrested and charged with one count of delay of mail and one of obstruction of mail. If found guilty of both charges, he faces up to five years and six months in prison and a $255,000 fine.
Court documents say that Beauchene has worked for the Postal Service since July. He's accused of dumping 1,875 pieces of mail in two dumpsters, one in North Arlington and the other in West Orange.
The mail in the North Arlington dumpster contained 98 general election ballots; mail found in the West Orange dumpster had one general election ballot. All of the mail, according to the DOJ, was eventually delivered.
Just use your imagination what the Dems can do to mess up the election so that they can 鱼目混珠 to claim a victory!
No need to say, I'm a strong Trump supporter.✌💪 For me, this is not a choice which person will be the next president but a choice if we can keep the US as a foundational capitalism country or to become the next Venezuela destroyed by the extreme Lefts!
But the real purpose of this post is not about the ultimate result of this election but my conviction that we will enter into a very chaotic time period post Nov 3, which will tank the market. Of course you don't need to believe me but at your own cost!!😵
For me it will be wise to have some protection in place in case such chaotic turmoil indeed become reality. One thing I think everyone should consider is to buy a gun or some self defensive device if permitted. We may very likely see some violent chaos as Lefts love violence, looting, and rioting as we have seen what has happened for months with the so-called BLM moment promoted by the Lefts. For the investing part, buying some stocks in this area should be a good idea. In my DW Family, I have shared an idea of a penny stock a couple of months ago for personal protection and security products for law enforcement. It has quickly jumped over 50% by now and I think more upside is coming, especially if I'm right about the possible post-election turmoil. This is not a time to be complacent folks!!😏
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By the way, if you are interested in joining my DW investment group, we have set up a Telegram group.
Here is the link for "DW 谈股论金": https://t.me/joinchat/SgYa_xNrjTNHk9cS51ke0A.
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