I must say I’m a lucky one as in my early years I got some
chance to spend significant time in many different countries across continents.
It is life enriching experiences I deeply benefited from and has helped me to
open up my mind and shape up my views from a wide perspective. One of the areas
is the Middle East, the Arabic world. šIt was really an exotic area, totally
different from what I was used to in terms of culture, religion, convention and
anything else. For example, back then about 30 years ago it was the first time
I ever heard and witnessed a sacred Islamic season, Ramadan. During the entire month of Ramadan,
Muslims are obligated to fast. every day from dawn to sunset. Fasting requires
the abstinence from food, drink or even smoking..... So during the day time, my
Islamic friends were basically dozing without eating and drinking anything as
they didn’t sleep much during the night in order to get enough food and drinks
before dawn. I knew a friend from Iran, who was an easy-going, sturdy but
simple-minded man. He smoked a lot and apparently very much addicted to it. But
amazingly during the Ramadan, he just stopped smoking during the day. Since we
got along very well, I sometimes made escapade to tease him. One day, I shook
him awake and said: Hi buddy, wake up and it’s time to take a cigarette! He
opened his puffy dozing eyes but then answered firmly: No! I said, “But who
would know you take a cigarette as there is no one around and I’d not tell
anyone!” He replied “Allah is watching me!” That’s the religious power as I
clearly saw he was struggling a lot from the nicotine addiction but he was
sticking to his principle!
So why I’m talking about this here? Well, I have got a unique investment
idea that is quite exotic but will likely make you some money from it, if you
can go out of your limb and be open-minded a bit! I’m talking about buying
stocks from the Arabic world, more specifically the Saudi Arabia market! I’m
pretty sure everyone has heard SA and many have gone there although I
personally haven’t yet been there. It is a very closed traditional Islamic
country, the biggest oil exporting country and also the leader of the oil
exporting organization, OPEC. So why it is exotic as it seems everyone knows
about it. Well I don’t think many of you really know that not a long ago no one
except SA citizens could buy and own SA stocks. Actually it was only less 3
years ago (Jun 2015) that SA decided to open its market for foreigners to buy
and trade. So buying SA stocks is not something as easy and granted as for
others. But merely opening its stock market is not necessarily a good reason to
buy their stocks, Actually there are two major catalysts that I believe will
drive SA stocks much higher in the future. For one, probably most of you don’t
know that SA has a plan called Vision 2030. It aims to transform the country
into a global investment hub. To meet its ambitious objectives, the SA
government is implementing policies to empower the private sector, introduce
fiscal reforms, encourage foreign investment and boost non-oil revenues. After
all, solely relying on oil as its major source of revenues is not sustainable
anymore. They understand this and wants to fundamentally change its course.
This has set up a fundamentally bullish ground that should boost its stock
market as a whole. Then more directly to the stock market, half a year ago, MSCI
granted Saudi Arabia Emerging Market status as a reward for its efforts to
modernize its economy. This will become effective in mid-2019. What does this
mean? It means SA stocks will be added into the MSCI Emerging Markets Index and
will become the third-largest MSCI country following the Europe, Middle East
and Africa (EMEA) region. This could be a tsunami effect for SA stocks, folks!
If you still don’t understand what will be coming for SA stocks, here is the
takeaway. It basically means that every MSCI index tracking fund on this globe will
have to invest in SA stocks (of course limited to those invested by the MSCI
index). There is a Middle East investment banking, called EFG Hermes. According to its estimate, there could be as
much as $30 billion to $45 billion flown into such SA stocks within the next
two years due to this MSCI EEI effect! Last week, I was talking about the bullish
trend for Emerging Markets and this is part of my overall theme on this front.
So if there is an easy way to buy SA stocks? You bet! Nowadays, ETFs can do
virtually anything you can think about. There is one specific to the SA market,
iShares MSCI Saudi Arabia ETF (KSA). You don’t need to
take an exotic trip to go SA to buy their stocks. Actually KSA has already
significantly outperformed the US stocks in the past year, many times better
more precisely as shown in the chart below. KSA is trading all time highs while S&P is still struggling in the water at the moment. But always remember, doing things more exotic is often associated with more unexpected risks. Same here and don't blame me for not warning you upfront!š
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