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Saturday, June 22, 2024

More warning signs for the tech sector

 

A record tech divergence at record highs

Key points:

  • As the Nasdaq 100 rises to record highs, fewer stocks are in uptrends, and more are hitting fresh lows
  • This is evident across time frames to a level that has never been seen
  • Under similar circumstances, the Nasdaq 100 rarely, if ever, escaped weakness over the medium-term

 

Technology reaches one of the most overbought conditions in history

Key points

  • Momentum in Technology has pushed the sector significantly above a short and long-term average
  • Similar overbought conditions preceded an unfavorable outlook for Technology over the subsequent month
  • A semiconductor index closed 60% above its 200-day average, a milestone achieved only a few other times
  •  The previous instance occurred in September 2020, leading to a 12% decline over the following two months. 
 
by SentimenTrader
 

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