The global markets have got a huge
boost in the passing week due to an avoidance of a perceived disastrous result
of the first round French presidency election as there was a high fear that the
worst pair of both extreme-right and extreme-left candidates could win the
first round that would put EU at a huge risk of collapse. Now at least based on
the initial results that suggest that the pro-EU candidate, Macron, may likely
win the second round on May 7, the EU seems to have a more solid footing now.
All the EU member countries should benefit from this prospect, but the one
benefiting most is probably the one that is the weakest link which purely
relies on the EU to survive. That’s it, Greece! Think about it, Greece is
quickly approaching to the next life-support negotiation within EU to get the
next round of funds to allow it to survive! No need to say that no one is so
much looking for a stable EU than Greece. For sure the favorable French
election has made the Greek stock market jump higher. But actually it seems
that the market has already foreseen this result as the Greek stock market, by
using the ETF GREK, has already
quietly started a clear uptrend since the beginning of the year after hitting
its all time low at <$6. Since then, it has gone up over 30% and is trading
above $8. Technically it is showing a good strength supported by its momentum,
breaking out a year long downward trend.
As long as there is no surprise on May 7 from the final round election
result in France. GREK should continue with its uptrend and probably move a lot
higher from here! Of course, the French
election on May 7 may also turn it down quickly if Macron dose not win. So
trade accordingly!
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