Crude oil has plunged over 5% within just 2
weeks, from over $100 to $95 now. This is a rather drastic move. Technically
speaking, crude has been quite oversold and is poised for a rebound, probably a
significant rebound. Using the technical indicators as a guide, I really think
there is a good chance that oil will jump back in the near term and there is at
least a great short-term opportunity for profit. USO is an ETF for tracking
crude oil. As you can see below, it is flirting its lower Bollinger Band and
RSI is sitting right at the oversold territory at 20. In the past year, USO has
dropped to RSI 20 four times. And as you can see from the red line, each time,
USO climbed back in the next few weeks toward its 50 day moving average, which
is around $37. Although no guarantee and speculative, I think this is likely
what may happen to USO to move up toward $37 in the next few weeks.
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